Writing

Blog

Geopolitical analysis, data research, and essays on international relations, strategy, and history. Published on Medium and elsewhere.

Geopolitics

23 May 2026 ↗ Medium
The Ukraine War Ends, Then Comes Dayton, Then the IMF, Then Brussels

A structural comparison finding Bosnia and Herzegovina as Ukraine's closest historical peer among 156 countries, and what that resemblance implies for postwar institutional sequencing.

UkraineGeopoliticsPolitical Risk
22 May 2026 ↗ Medium
Why Ghana's Next Election Could Be Decided in the Barracks

A structural comparison finding Mauritania, not any Sahel state, as Ghana's closest political-risk analogue, and what that means for West Africa's most cited democratic success story.

GhanaGeopoliticsPolitical Risk
15 Apr 2026 ↗ Medium
The Case of Lebanon: Three Borders, One Playbook

An analysis of the regional pressures reshaping Lebanon's post-war political order, drawing on the templates already visible on Israel's other borders.

LebanonGeopoliticsMiddle East
06 Mar 2025 ↗ Medium
NATO Doctrine at Strategic Crossroads

An analysis of the doctrine shift reshaping the Atlantic alliance, from “Keep the Russians out, the Americans in” to something far less certain, and what it means for European strategic autonomy.

NATOStrategyUSAEurope
17 May 2023 ↗ Medium
The Weak Link in the Russia–Iran–India Railway: Surprisingly, It's Not Iran

A geopolitical deep-dive into the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), examining the alliances, rivalries, and the counterintuitive bottleneck undermining Eurasia's most ambitious infrastructure project.

RussiaIranIndiaInfrastructureEurasia
08 Nov 2022 ↗ Medium
Sustainable Geopolitics for Neutral States

A postmortem of the Ukrainian–Russian conflict through the lens of neutral states, what history tells us about the durability of non-alignment as a strategy, and whether it remains viable.

UkraineNeutralityGeopoliticsStrategy
07 May 2022 ↗ Medium
From Tripoli to Tripoli: How the EU Keeps Its Hands Clean in the Mediterranean

A first-hand account from the Aquarius rescue ship examining the policy architecture that allows European institutions to maintain plausible deniability while shaping the fate of thousands of migrants at sea.

EUMediterraneanMigrationPolicy
17 Mar 2022 ↗ Medium
The Case of Ukraine

Tracing Putin's ascension to power and the structural logic behind Russia's westward pressure, a report-style narrative examining how the present was made inevitable by decades of decisions.

UkraineRussiaHistory

Others

11 May 2022 ↗ kurt.digital
How Accurate is EA's FIFA at Predicting Future Stars?

A data-journalism study for TU Dortmund's KURT magazine: scraped sofifa.com in R to test how well EA FIFA's potential ratings predict real careers. Players rated in the top potential bracket become 10+ year veterans just 8.8% of the time.

RWeb ScrapingData VisualisationStatistics
Read article ↗ Download extended study (PDF) View analysis on GitHub ↗