Writing
Blog
Geopolitical analysis, data research, and essays on international relations, strategy, and history. Published on Medium and elsewhere.
Geopolitics
A structural comparison finding Bosnia and Herzegovina as Ukraine's closest historical peer among 156 countries, and what that resemblance implies for postwar institutional sequencing.
A structural comparison finding Mauritania, not any Sahel state, as Ghana's closest political-risk analogue, and what that means for West Africa's most cited democratic success story.
An analysis of the regional pressures reshaping Lebanon's post-war political order, drawing on the templates already visible on Israel's other borders.
An analysis of the doctrine shift reshaping the Atlantic alliance, from “Keep the Russians out, the Americans in” to something far less certain, and what it means for European strategic autonomy.
A geopolitical deep-dive into the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), examining the alliances, rivalries, and the counterintuitive bottleneck undermining Eurasia's most ambitious infrastructure project.
A postmortem of the Ukrainian–Russian conflict through the lens of neutral states, what history tells us about the durability of non-alignment as a strategy, and whether it remains viable.
A first-hand account from the Aquarius rescue ship examining the policy architecture that allows European institutions to maintain plausible deniability while shaping the fate of thousands of migrants at sea.
Tracing Putin's ascension to power and the structural logic behind Russia's westward pressure, a report-style narrative examining how the present was made inevitable by decades of decisions.
Others
A data-journalism study for TU Dortmund's KURT magazine: scraped sofifa.com in R to test how well EA FIFA's potential ratings predict real careers. Players rated in the top potential bracket become 10+ year veterans just 8.8% of the time.