Writing
Geopolitical analysis, data research, and essays on international relations, strategy, and history. Published on Medium and elsewhere.
When listening to "Lama Bada Yatathana", a thousand-year-old Muwashah from Islamic Andalusia, the realisation that Arabic stands alone among ancient languages in its resilience becomes undeniable. An exploration of why.
An analysis of the doctrine shift reshaping the Atlantic alliance, from "Keep the Russians out, the Americans in" to something far less certain, and what it means for European strategic autonomy.
A geopolitical deep-dive into the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), examining the alliances, rivalries, and the counterintuitive bottleneck undermining Eurasia's most ambitious infrastructure project.
A postmortem of the Ukrainian–Russian conflict through the lens of neutral states, what history tells us about the durability of non-alignment as a strategy, and whether it remains viable.
A statistical study examining how well EA FIFA's potential ratings predict which players actually reach elite level, covering club effects, nationality bias, top-potential curses, and the top 25 rises and steepest declines in overall rating.
A first-hand account from the Aquarius rescue ship examining the policy architecture that allows European institutions to maintain plausible deniability while shaping the fate of thousands of migrants at sea.
A deliberate separation of political and humanitarian lenses in analysing Zelenskyy's role in the conflict, and why conflating the two distorts our understanding of the war's deeper mechanics.
Tracing Putin's ascension to power and the structural logic behind Russia's westward pressure, a report-style narrative examining how the present was made inevitable by decades of decisions.
Starting from the Washington Post's December 2021 unclassified US intelligence report forecasting the invasion, an examination of how the West processed, discarded, and then rediscovered the evidence in real time.
Why Western sanctions on Russia, modelled on the Iran and North Korea playbooks, may not hold. An analysis of how the Eurasian continental bloc is more structurally resilient than any previous target of economic pressure.